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In this category we have the old douchebag, the young douchebag, the guy who could’ve had a chance, they veteran who everyone loves despite having a bad movie, and the guy who destroyed that 3rd guy’s chances at any major award this year.



1/10   Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
18/1   Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
40/1    Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
50/1   Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
100/1   Denzel Washingtom, Roman J. Israel, Esq. 




This is the biggest no-brainer of the night. Gary Oldman is getting this award on March 4th not only because he deserves it, but because it’s the culmination of a long career. Gary has only been nominated for an Oscar once before (2012- Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy) but he’s always been known as an incredible actor, although never good enough to crack the top spot. As Churchill though, Gary put on an acting clinic. He wore a thousand pounds of prosthetic fat and makeup but didn’t rely on that to carry him through the role. His facial expressions, walk, posture, rapid eye movement, it all added up to create a different person from himself entirely.
There are a hundred reasons to give him this award, but that one scene where he was giggling about the “up the bum” gesture was enough to seal it for me.